The Day Internet Asploded 2.0
I think the web is on the verge of another bubble. An explosion of new money into the industry by existing leaders, and investors trying to ride the next wave. The reason I’m thinking this will happen soon, is the sudden influx of internet aware spenders. The mid-20 somethings that are both net savvy, and have credit cards.
During the last bubble, a lot of the money made was fed off of peoples ignorance of what the internet was. Countless web firms cashed in on business owners fear of being left behind, and ignorance with regards to what developing, and hosting a static web page actually cost. And that was only client services. Many big sites sold for multi-million dollars, and investors eagerly fronted cash for super bowl ads, for the chance to be the next Amazon. Consumers were aware of the web, because it was forced down their throats, but in the end, users spent time only on a few trust worthy sites (ie. Yahoo).
Here is the reason I think the web, and I hesitate to use the term, but web 2.0, is taking off. I already mentioned the influx of tech savvy spenders, but it is also that people are far more willing to experience more. Where it was Yahoo and Amazon, it is now, Digg, Facebook, You Tube, Twitter, Google (not just search), and more. One problem here is that this new generation of web users are seemingly less likely to be ad clickers. So while a new site could likely get new traffic really quick, the potential to find advertisers, and sustainable revenue seem less likely.
The cost of building a site has never been lower, and the cost of attracting profitable traffic has never been higher. This is why it is common to see sites with high traffic being sold for insane amounts, and it is why I think we are on the verge of seeing investors putting up big money to anything that looks like it could get huge traffic. The reason I think it’s still going to be a bubble is that right now the common idea is that traffic equals money, but I think that that business model is severely flawed, and deep down investors know it.